Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.007065 0.007921 0.008855 0.009952 0.011208 0.012604 0.014280
2025-02-23 0.005594 0.006732 0.008078 0.009799 0.011955 0.014585 0.018065
2025-03-02 0.004888 0.006163 0.007757 0.009913 0.012787 0.016530 0.021846
2025-03-09 0.004318 0.005648 0.007381 0.009839 0.013282 0.018015 0.025147
2025-03-16 0.003770 0.005079 0.006846 0.009446 0.013245 0.018708 0.027367
2025-03-23 0.003438 0.004759 0.006598 0.009401 0.013661 0.020052 0.030684
2025-03-30 0.003295 0.004681 0.006674 0.009817 0.014782 0.022560 0.036150
2025-04-06 0.002984 0.004328 0.006308 0.009519 0.014752 0.023241 0.038687
2025-04-13 0.002725 0.004028 0.005992 0.009257 0.014739 0.023926 0.041297
2025-04-20 0.002553 0.003846 0.005837 0.009233 0.015103 0.025272 0.045271
2025-04-27 0.002471 0.003795 0.005882 0.009537 0.016052 0.027744 0.051725
2025-05-04 0.002331 0.003638 0.005741 0.009508 0.016404 0.029165 0.056324
2025-05-11 0.002219 0.003527 0.005676 0.009623 0.017064 0.031312 0.062928
2025-05-18 0.002073 0.003347 0.005481 0.009490 0.017251 0.032582 0.067928
2025-05-25 0.001981 0.003252 0.005423 0.009599 0.017912 0.034882 0.075644
2025-06-01 0.001870 0.003114 0.005278 0.009527 0.018200 0.036440 0.081922
2025-06-08 0.001724 0.002904 0.004988 0.009148 0.017816 0.036498 0.084547
2025-06-15 0.001638 0.002796 0.004875 0.009105 0.018130 0.038137 0.091493
2025-06-22 0.001617 0.002805 0.004978 0.009506 0.019442 0.042242 0.105812
2025-06-29 0.001511 0.002649 0.004757 0.009218 0.019198 0.042638 0.110011
2025-07-06 0.001418 0.002511 0.004561 0.008967 0.019008 0.043138 0.114622
2025-07-13 0.001358 0.002432 0.004476 0.008943 0.019342 0.044995 0.123669
2025-07-20 0.001336 0.002426 0.004535 0.009236 0.020461 0.049036 0.140429